FIRST 100 DAYS. LET'S LOOK AT THIS TOPIC ONE MORE TIME: 

It’s always entertaining to me when I hear US Presidential Candidates expounding on what their “first hundred days” in office are going to look like. It doesn’t matter what political party the candidate is from, the stance is always the same. “I’m going to really shake things up”. My Administration will do this…or that… and so on and so on! Like most, I’ve never put much stock in anything these folks say. The words over the entry doors of the United States Army’s Sergeant Major Academy at Biggs Army Airfield in El Paso Texas are alien to both US political parties. “Deeds before words”! Hollow promises are just part of the political process and it’s depressing to realize that just about every modern society has come to expect that fact. Not only is it depressing, it is becoming dangerous!

The First One hundred Days:

The concept of The First One Hundred Days has another fatal flaw. Regardless of the “Visions” political leaders have, the rest of the world gets a vote! What does that mean? Who votes? Well, let me explain. Does anyone believe that any nation that is close to changing leadership is not analyzed for possible impacts on other nations?  Why Is Europe’s hair on fire over the possibility of Donald Trump winning the election in the US? What are they “anticipating”? Most of them have gone to great lengths to express their disapproval of Donald Trump and have done so based on some analytical review of his possible actions in the US White House. As another example, take a look at the visual word of the ex-President / Drug Dealer / from Mexico…Mr. Fox! Yes... I said Drug Dealer…trust me on that one! So, my point is this. As much as Donald Trump and or Hillary Clinton may make glamorous statements about what will take place once they are in the White House, what both of them cannot predict is the actions taken by those who oppose the US. Like I said, others get a vote!

What is the Tsar’s plan for “The First Hundred Days” of President Trump?

What is the Tsar’s plan for “The First Hundred Days” of President Clinton?

What are the plans of the Chinese, Iran, and Turkey? Yep, I tossed our NATO partner in there. If you don’t understand why, then you need to work on your world awareness.

Will a President Trump or a President Clinton have time to think about all the promises they made; as if they intended on keeping them anyway!

The elections in the US are in two weeks. The change of leadership doesn’t take place until January 2017.

Will those who don’t like the US wait to make “The First Hundred Days” manageable?

Who is most likely to challenge the new President, something that takes place from time to time?

If you are in the US and you are still listening to the visions of ether Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton, I would suggest you wonder about what will take place in those first hundred days, or for that matter the next four years?

It’s easy to make pie in the sky promises when you realize the public doesn’t believe you to begin with. It becomes catastrophic when a new President is unprepared for the challenges place in front of them, even before they place their hand on the Bible? Just look back to 2009 if you need an example.

CYBER ATTACKS . "STRONGER TOGETHER", UNLESS YOU ARE AGAINST HER!

WikiLeaks and soon to be President of the US, Hillary Clinton, if you listen to the mainstream media in the US, are starting off on a very bad note. Clinton supporters may not believe it, but the rest of the world equates the banning of Julian Assange by Ecuador’s government as a direct result of his attacks on Hillary’s campaign.  

Would the government of the greatest nation in the free world exert such influence on another nation for the sake of one party’s political campaign? Well, in the past eight years in the US, anything is possible.  

The speed of the US Department of State’s denial, clever use of words in this post, for responsibility of Assange’s blocked internet access was more than suspicious.

Think about the gravity of this accusation. The “Fix” is in so hard by the seated US administration for Hillary Clinton to become the next President that the Department of State demands an individual’s rights to internet access must be denied? Is that not just a little be Orwellian?

So, here comes the other side of this story. Today, the US and parts of Europe suffered a Denial attack on multiple internet access sites. The US press went with the story all the way up to someone mentioning it might be a retaliation for the actions taken by the US on Assange. Good grief, even one of the primary Clinton campaign media support groups, NBC, ran the story for at least a few hours.

Is this it? Is this how the next President of the US is going to react to people exposing issues about her?

“Stronger together”….unless you are against her and then you better watch out!

Oh, by the way. Did anyone notice how fast the US once again tied this whole issue to the Russians? All of a sudden, whenever the Progressive Liberals in the US have something not go their way, “It’s the Russians fault”!

When I was a kid, living in Florida in the early 60s, every time a Hurricane came close to us, my Mother would say, “It’s that Communist Weather Machine the Russians have”!

I wonder how long before Global Warming is a Russian event?

Well. I better stop there before my internet access turns off!

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/u-s-urged-ecuador-act-against-assange-n669271

http://money.cnn.com/2016/10/21/technology/ddos-attack-popular-sites/index.html

 THE BATTLE FOR MOSUL. IS THERE SOMETHING THEY ARE NOT TELLING US?

I can remember back when journalism in the US was still a profession and a somewhat honorable one at that. Even back then, the question would of unadulterated reporting would come up.  In the Viet Nam conflict, never a declared War, as if that has mattered for some time now, the question of government influence on journalistic coverage was almost a daily topic. Have time really changed?

It seems odd the US is “involved” in “supporting” the battle for Mosul, but the topic doesn’t seem to make the news. Yes the US is weeks away from a Presidential election, one that will have no real victor, at least from the perspective of the American people, but, just how is the “support / Alliance” doing?

For the past 24 hrs. or so, the rumors of the Iraqi advance stalling has grown in coverage, but, not from the US media. Why? If the US has its military members in harm’s way, and they do, then where is the update? “The most transparent Administration ever”!

So, here is the rumor and in my book, it’s one that has real legs.

Kurdish fighting forces are poised to move on the city and that is something the Turks are more than upset with. Not to mention the Turks are not being invited to the table by the Iraqi government. Remember, the Ottomans’ goal is to suppress the Kurds, not destroy the Islamic State fighters.  Not to mention the Kurds are now asking for the Turkmen fighters to be categorized as “Terrorist”! You know, now days, if you don’t get along with some group, you just call them “Terrorist” and that levels out the playing field.

The newer version of the Mosul conflict seems to stim from the US and the Iraqi government not agreeing on the status of two issues.

1.      The US doesn’t want the ISIS fighters to be able to retrograde into Syria; as if they have not already done so prior to the start of the Mosul operation. That’s what happens when you telegraph what you are going to do for months in advance. Side note. Did the Tsar “telegraph” his movement into Syria? Remember my analysis…. Checkers vs Chess. So, the US wants the Iraqi fighters, to include the Shia militias controlled by Iran, to cut off the escape routs into Syria. Rumor has it that has become a major bargaining chip between Iraq and the US.

2.      It seems the fear that everyone who understands the region was worried about it coming true. The Shia militias along with the Iraqi forces, forces trained by the West / US / but under the control of Iran, are going to exert pain upon the Sunni population of Mosul. What is the end result of this? Yep. Yet another mass refugee issue. An event that was so predictable, the UN even prepared for it to take place.

Is this all an indication of just how bad the Mosul operation is going? Yep.

Can it get worse? Oh ya. Way worse!

If ISIS “Terrorist” are allowed to exit Mosul, and that is if they start to lose, and fall back into Syria, how does the West / US / believe the Russians will not see that as a deliberate act? How does anyone awake in DC not understand that the Mosul supported event is nothing more than the US pushing the ISIS issue off on the Syrian government? Does anyone in DC not think that is the perception of the Tsar? Worse yet, did the US actually anticipate this consequence?

Weeks away from a Presidential election in the US and somehow key leadership is under the impression that detreating the relationship with the Russian is a step forward?

Now, let’s think for a minute. Who is the key fighting group that will actually enter the streets of Mosul?

The Kurds? Not unless you want to see the Turks respond.

The Iraqi “Special Forces… Counter Terrorist… what every else they call themselves? They look good standing there with their Western uniforms on. Some have actually leaned how to properly wear a helmet. Are

Are These the forces that will go door to door in Mosul? On Iraqi TV that might be staged, but some of us know who the real killers are.

Yes. The Shia Militias. The ones that actually do kill women and Children just as barbarically as the ISIS Terrorist do.  These are the units that will enter the city with Iraq’s blessing. They will be under the command of Iran and that is why Soleimani is there.

Are the Russians going to allow the Iranians to push ISIS into Syria and take credit for saving Mosul?

Is the Tsar willing to trade Mosul for more problems in Syria?

Is he going to talk to the Ottomans again?

What version of the battle for Mosul is the US press willing to dig into? 

Does the US Press even understand what is taking place or might that jeprodize their Presidential Candidate?

Professional journalism! A thing of the past!

Are you confused?

DC is!

http://www.debka.com/article/25723/Obama-vs-Baghdad-on-Sunni-cleansing-of-Mosul-

DR. MIRELES AND YET ANOTHER “RUMOR”!

For those that know me, you are not surprised that I am once again addressing the latest “rumor” on the status of the good Doctor. For those of you that don’t know me, I will simply state I’ve been following this person and the events surrounding him in Mexico for the past several years.

Short version of that comment:

Dr. Mireles is the person most of Mexico’s government fears the most. It’s not just the good Doctor’s actions, but the movement that Mireles expounded upon in Mexico that worries the Mexican government. Simply put, he is the flame that could launch social revolution in Mexico and they know it.

So, yet another “Rumor” of his pending release? I would say this is ether the sixth of seventh time that story has hit the internet since he was tossed in prison over three years ago and that was after the Mexican government tried to kill him.

I’ve stated this before, but given this “rumor” is out there again, I will repeat myself at least one more time.  

Can the Mexican government afford to turn Dr. Mireles lose? Has his ability to influence the working class population of Mexico passed? Is the danger zone he possess to the government past? How do they know?

What is the advantage of turning setting him free?

Have most of his followers grown accustom to not having him in the struggle?

Is it safe to set him free?

Has the threat of the fire he threaten to ignite in Mexico expired?

If I see him actually freed, it will be far more interesting what takes place after that.

If that happens, you can bet I will spend a great deal more time addressing who he is and what his movement could mean to the stability of Mexico.

My bet is, he is not getting out, but if he does, it will be important to track the good Doctor.

http://www.borderlandbeat.com/2016/10/doctor-mireles-might-soon-leave-prison.html

THE BATTLES FOR ALEPPO AND MOSUL: MONGO'S PERSPECTIVE 

For several months now, the outrage over the air strikes on Aleppo have been sticking close to the front page of the news. The UN has been approached to address the issue Aleppo, a worthless event that amounted to little more than political theatrics given the veto power of Russia. Air strikes that were “war crimes” at worst or at best ‘unacceptable”, that has been the topic when it comes to the conflict for the city of Aleppo.

Aleppo:

Is Aleppo key to the Syrian government regaining control of Syria? Yes.

Are those who are bombing Aleppo in a declared “Alliance”? Yes.

Are the attackers deliberately targeting innocent civilians? Well, that depends on your stance on the Syrian conflict.

Is there total confusion as to who is fighting for what reason in the battle for Aleppo? Yes.

Does each of the parties in the attacking “alliance” have their own agenda?  Yes.

Is the West supporting the attacking “alliance”? No.

Mosul:

Is Mosul key to the Iraqi government regaining control of Iraq? Yes.

Are those who are attacking Mosul in a declared “Alliance”? Yes.

Are the attackers targeting innocent civilians? Well, that depends on your stance on the Iraqi conflict.

Is there total confusion as to who is fighting for what reason in the battle for Mosul? Yes.

Does each of the parties in the “alliance” have their own agenda? Yes.

Is the West supporting the attacking “alliance”? Yes.

What is the difference? 

Why is the West outraged at the actions in Aleppo and quietly supporting the actions in Mosul?

If your answer is, “we are attempting to help the Iraqi government defeat the Terrorist who occupy Mosul” then just switch the side you are on and you have the answer for Aleppo.

What moral high ground do you take over Aleppo and then place your hand over your eyes in Mosul?

To the five year old child in Mosul or Aleppo, why someone is killing your family is not important. Just getting them to stop is all that matters.

Strange how justification is a relative term.

In Mosul, the fear of Shia militias, supported and controlled by Iran, victimizing Sunni civilians has some of the so called “allies” quietly at odds with each other, not to mention the Turks  demands on the event given the support being provided by the Kurdish fighters.

Read an article today that equated the battle for Mosul to a modern day Tower of Babel.  Frankly, the whole region has become the Tower of Babel!  

So, somehow, tonight in DC, the stance seems to be this. “Aleppo bad…..Mosul good”!

Sound childish?

The idiot Mongo from Blazing Saddles. I’m not so sure he couldn’t win in three weeks!

Oh, by the way. If you are one of those “talking Heads” or so called “experts” on the region and you try and reply with some comical explanation as to why Aleppo and Mosul are “different”, then you should audition for the remake of Blazing Saddles! 

SOLEIMANI AND THE WEST. A CASE STUDY IN “LET’S HOPE THE PUBLIC DOESN’T REMEMBER”!

Over the past few years, I have addressed this person on several occasions. If you don’t know who he is, I suggest you ready up or my comments are not going to make much sense to you. If you don’t care about what he has done, then you’ve not lost someone in Iraq since 2003. If you know who he is and still supports what the US administration is doing with Iran, then you need to stop reading this because you are not capable of rational thought!

Refresher:

Who is Soleimani? He is an Iranian General who is directly responsible for hundreds of US service member’s deaths in Iraq! I’m not going to try to impress you like some of the “experts” by giving you his background. Frankly, if you don’t know his background, that’s ok. All you need to know is many US lives were lost because of this man.

Side Note: I know more about this man than just about any talking head / expert / out there, with the exception of intelligence members who have been assigned to become SME’s on his daily life. 

Why is this story so upsetting to me? Simple. The West / US / has dirtied its hands with Iran to the point that living with the actions of this man seems to be more important than losing a worthless nuclear weapons program. How could the US even hope to allow this man to be involved with any actions the Us may be supporting in Iraq? Again, simple. The US has turned its back on this man’s actions for several years now. Again, the weapon’s program hallucination in DC is more important than risking someone finding out the US is dealing / tolerating / the   actions of Soleimani.

This man should have died in a drone strike years ago! Several attempts have been made on him, but not with the involvement of the West; at least I would bet they were not involved.

When I first started reading some of the conceptual plans that were slow leaked on how the operation to retake Mosul might take place, it was obvious the glaring questions were going to be ignored by the Western media. “ How can Tukey support an event the Kurds were going to support? How was the West / US / going to support an operation that was going to have a blatant Shia vs Sunni nexus to it? How would the West / US / sell their actions to Saudi”?  The score card of who is on whose team was a comedy all by itself. Military leadership in the US has been shaking its head as DC and the US Department of State hold hands with the Iranians and the Persian puppet government in Iraq.

The most difficult part of preparing a “plan” to retake Mosul was based on two highly complicated issues.

1.      Finding out how to get the players to get along long enough to have an actual coordinated game plan.

2.      Training an inept fighting force to be able to take on dedicated killers who have had over two years to fortify their positions in Mosul.

Both of these issues have almost doomed this so called Campaign from the beginning!

In the middle of all of this, the Iranians, who have had control in Syria taken away from them by the Russians , are desperate to keep control of Iraq. Deals made with the Kurds, the only real fighters taking part in the Mosul event, can only infuriated the Turks.

What outcome in Mosul does Egodan envision for Turkey? No Kurdish enclaves can be any slice of the outcome, regardless of what deals the Iranians have struck.

So the picture is this. The coalition of forces for the Mosul attack is anything but “united”.  In the middle of that statement is the issue of General Soleimani. Did the Iraqi government ask for his help?  Given how important Iraq is to Iran, does anyone really think the Iranians would care if they were asked or not?

Why? Why is Soleimani being called for? The Iranians know all too well the feelings the West / US / military has for him. They know the Obama administration is more concerned with the legacy of a nuclear arms deal than having to work with a killer of US forces.

Iraq is more than important to Iran. Iraq is nearly everything to Iran. All of their regional plans go up in smoke if they are not seen as the controllers of Iraq.

Soleimani is probably the only person who could take over the Iranian government in a coup and not have the Iranian people revolt. By the way, that rumor was out there a few years ago. What the coup planners underestimated was Soleimani’ s loyalty to Iranian senior leader!

In the end, here is the part that makes me angrier than words can describe. How is it the Obama administration can hope to work around this man without public outcry? The sad truth is, most of the US public has no idea who he is and what he has done to their Sons and Daughters! As is always the case, ignorance is counted on.

I can tell you one group that is not ignorant to Soleimani. The United States Military.

 They will not work with him or his people and if ordered to do so, that relationship will be designed to fail.

Soleimani may be called upon to take pictures standing next to Iraqi fighters. He may be positioned to point at a map and look “Commanding”, but, if he was to die a “martyr” in the battle for Mosul, the fog of way may be a great excuse.

There is a special corner in Hell for this man and I hope someone sends him there soon!

In Shala!

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/NewsReports/567433-iraq-requests-participation-of-irans-soleimani-in-mosul-campaign-report

RUMORS OF US ACTIONS AGAINST SYRIA / RUSSIA.

In the past two days. Two stories caught my attention. 

One: the US is considering military action, again, in Syria and the conflict in DC on who supports the idea and who does not.

Two: The US is considering retaliating against Russian cyber hacks with its own cyber-attack.

As dramatic as these two stories should have been, it only took a day for the Trump / Hillary story to overtake the media in the US. I am somewhat surprised it took that long.

It’s not often that I take a positive position with the current US administration, but if passive liberalism won the day with these two ideas, then I have to admit the right decisions were made, at least for now.

Just how reckless would either of these actions have been? It’s hard to even measure.

Was the Tsar anticipating ether of these actions? Yes.

Did he have a counter-move prepared? Absolutely, that is how he operates.

If the US would have stumbled into ether of these actions, the impact would have been at a level the US would not have been ready to deal with. You, see, as I have said in the past, the US is decent at rationalizing the first proactive move, but the follow on requirements are almost always lacking in US policy. It’s is truly one of the weakest points of US strategic policy development.

Could a cascading series of results have been the outcome? Yes.

Could they have forced the US and its allies into events they had not anticipated and therefore not have been prepared for? That answer is the more frightening than any one that may have been given.

 The intent behind telegraphing one’s actions is perceived very differently in the rest of the world than it is in the West / US. Very few nations, especially the Russians, truly believes the US media is not fully in the camp of the Obama administration. Given that the Russians believe that, hearing of such pending actions could only be perceived as a “warning” to the Tsar. Actually, it doesn’t take a lot to convince me that may have been the case and that make the message even more dangerous.

When word of these two options hit Moscow, I have to imagine there were smiles inside the Tsar’s office.

What actions were, is he, prepared to take if either of these two events were to take place.  Those options were reviewed as soon as these two stories hit Moscow.

Here is the next dangerous fact of this story. I’m betting the Tsar and his team are convinced those actions may still take place! That’s the problem with using the media for sending messages. Walking back the threat to someone like the Tsar is never a good option.

If the US has decided not to take action in Syria and not to take cyber actions against Russia, then the results will be in the negative ether way. Yep. This is a lose, lose, but one version of this loss is far less dangerous than the other. I say that, but in the long run, even the passive loss will run the threat of further decay.

Why did these two stories fall off the radar so quickly? Two answers.

One: It hasn’t outside the US. It has not gone away in Syria, Russia, Iran or with the GCC.

Two: It could be not just that Trump / Clinton is the focus of the media in the US, but perhaps leadership realized these two stories need to end quickly. “LOOK…. A SQUIRREL”!!! Now, if the US was really trying to send a message to Moscow, I’m on and off on that concept, then the sudden de-escalation could have yet another unforeseen consequence. The factions fighting in DC on how to move the US’s involvement forward are now probably more at odds than ever before. One thing is for sure. It is not the fist time the world has witnessed the US’s “GO…DON”T GO…. WE REALLY MEAN IT THIS TIME… DON’T CROSS THE LINE”, stage act. Can Moscow really believe this level of incompetence? Does someone as paranoid as the Tsar truly believe DC is that incompetent? Well, a few years ago, the Tsar may have had a hard time believing it, but now, even he may have to watch DC and scratch his head!

Bets. Place your bet. If you hear of a “hack” on Russian systems and you see the US jump up and say they were not responsible, you may want to believe it. Could the Tsar mastermind such an event just to take his plan to the next step? It won’t surprise me at all. 

As for US military actions on Syrian sites, that blunder would even surprise me and I have less confidence in the actions of DC than the Tsar does.   If the Tsar has mapped that event out, even I would be surprised. I say that then I look at the events that surround the UN aid convoy attack in Syria. All things are posable in this mismatched battle of ideas.

Two dangerous stories this week and most in the US may think they are both over.

My hunch is, they are only over if the Tsar wants them to be over.

What’s next? The midnight oil is still burning in Moscow!