UKRAINE AND THE GHOST OF BLACKWATER!!!

As we ponder the next steps in the Tsar's detailed plans for the reemerging Mother Russia, we need to be careful not to overlook the critical function the media certainaly was tasked to play in the Master Plan.

The argument that the  media in Russia is openly controlled by the Tsar is not worth debating.

Yes, many say, "well... CNN is nothing more than a mouthpiece for the administration', or, " Fox is just a Right Wing Support Group"!

The fact of the matter is, both are still independently owned stations that compete for advertising dollars and when push comes to shove, a good story that goes against what their ownership stands for will still be covered if it means ratings!

This is not the case in Russia and the world knows it.

Now, why is this fact important?

I have heard rumors for weeks now about Western manipulation in Kiev, so when this  story of Greystone was aired in Moscow, I had to wonder......why?

Do the Russian know "someone" may be in the tasked to help the new government in Kiev and is that the most important part of this comment about Greystone?

If the Tsar knows groups like Greystone are in Kiev, does he realize some of these groups really do march to the sound of profit and not orders from the White House?

Does the White House know what is really going on in Kiev?

Here is the more important question.

Does that matter?

I would suggest what really matters is what does the Tsar believe.

Time and time again, I have commented on how "perception" is reality in the connected world of the 21st century and time and time again I have warned about the paranoia of a man like the Tsar.

If Greystone or any group like them is truly operating in the Ukraine, and my bet is they are if there is money to be made and young men who still seek the thrill of danger, then the Western governments / US / needs to be prepared for how the Tsar will leverage this point.

How will it look if the West continues to "warn" the Russians to stay out of Ukrainian "business" and then have the Russian expose a Western cooperation direct involvement in the Ukraine?

The government controlled media in Moscow put this comment in the news over the past two days for a reason and someone in the West better get ready for what that might mean.

Oh...by the way... I truly hope someone doesn't try and use the same old pathetic statements the West / US / made about Blackwater in Iraq.

I will tell you without a shadow of a doubt Blackwater was an unmitigated disaster for the West / US / in Iraq!

No one in Moscow is going to believe private / military / contractors are in the Ukraine without the blessing of the Western / US / governments.

This shot across the bow of the West on Russian news channels is more than just a story.

It's a warning.. and it's a warning that someone better understand and "fix" quickly!

http://www.phantomreport.com/greystone-limited-mercenaries-operating-in-ukraine

THE TSAR AND THE DRAGON... A DEAL OVER GAS?

When I first commented on the events taking place in the Ukraine, I pointed out that a person like Putin never set out on a complex event without a plan.

As an old KGB Boss, the very idea of  carrying out a mission without proper detailed planning is against everything he was taught.

If you read what I posted last month, you will remember I commented on how the Tsar would have antisipated the Western reaction to his aggressive movements.

within a day of the violence, political leaders in the West were clamoring for the West to cut dependency on Russian fuel.

Predictable?

For the Tsar, this was most likely one of the initial COAs / Courses of Action / he had his planning team take into consideration.

Now, the Russian's concept of supplying  fuel to the Dragon, well, that is a far more complex topic than most would think, but one of the short term goals of becoming less vulnerable to Western dependency... a West that could easily increase their own production levels, was a goal the Tsar knew he had to reach.

So, as a good friend of mine always says, "sometimes you have to wait for the next move to understand the first"!

The Tsar's pending "deal" with the Dragon, well.... that could be the next "move" we all have been waiting for.

Here is the problem!

The sequence timelines between moves may very well speed up.

Let's play my favorite game again!

ASSUME:

Let's assume the Tsar antisipated this pending deal with the Dragon!

Let's assume the Tsar based his next tactical move in  Eastern Ukraine on this pending deal.

Should we now assume, the events in Eastern Ukraine are part  of the "next move"?

We are talking about the nation of Master Chess Players!

I know some people out there tend to believe if they don't see a story staying on the front page for days on end, then the event must be stabilizing or even getting better.

That is such a poor assumption with the Attention Deficit Disorder Western Media groups.

People like the Tsar ,they are skilled in the craft of timing!

The Tsar knows all too well how quickly people, now days, move on to the next shinny object in the news..

Some guy with no legs who kills his girlfriend has the Western media memorized for the third day in a row now!

So, it seems the "plan" the Tsar has launched, a process in rebuilding the dignity of the Russian Nation, is moving "according to plan"!

We continue to look for a airplane at the bottom of the sea..... and the rest watch a legless man cry in front of a judge..

Here who is not watching the courtroom soap opera.

Here is the slice of the Tsar's plan that really becomes dangerous for him in the long run and he knows it.

The DRAGON!

The same DRAGON that once owned Siberia.... and plans to "own" it again someday!

This gas deal is a great victory for the Tsar and the reemerging Russian Empire.....or is it?

http://www.worldbulletin.net/headlines/133307/russia-says-gazprom-china-close-to-gas-agreement-updated

HEZBOLLAH'S STRUGGLE TO MAINTAIN ITS CORE. 

When I first wrote of Hezbollah's entry into the Syrian Civil War, I stated Hezbollah would not survive as the force they were at that point in time.

The thrill of being young and being involved in day to day conflict.... fighting door to door and watching those around you die changed the pillar of the Hezbollah movement....it's fighting youth.

When their Persian Masters ordered them into the Syria conflict, it seemed a glorious task and many ran to the sound of the guns.

Then came the first real test for the leadership of Hezbollah; explaining the deaths, many of them, to a families in Lebanon who wanted no part of the conflict in Syria.

Having to look into the eyes of the women of the families and explain to them how their Sons, Husbands died at the hands of fellow Arab Muslims in a land that didn't have any meaning to the families.... that was the fist task leadership was not prepared for.

Then came fighting an enemy who was without rules!

Yes, in the history of Hezbollah, the fighting or preparation for fighting was based on an enemy who would limit themselves with human rules!

Against the well trained and fanatical Sunni units, this advantage disappeared.

And still the stress of informing families of "why" usually without the "how" or "where"!

Then the next real change began to become appearent to Hezbollah's leadership; the same change that took place with the Rebels leading the fight against Assad.

Hezbollah leadership stayed in Lebanon, drinking tea and eating more in a day than the front line youth was getting in a week.

No sleep.... the loss of friends.... Iranian Masters dictating where and when to be and how to fight....

And so, the changes continued!

After the fist year, the fighters in the field began to look back into Lebanon and say, "easy for you to say... .you are sleeping 10 hrs a day in real bed"!

Oh yes.... the thrill was gone and Hezbollah leadership knew it and still knows it!

The reality that Hezbollah's leadership never wanted to realize has come true.

Factions!

Yes, Hezbollah has had hardcore elements in the past, but this is different.

Hezbollah is not what it was  before they entered Syria and the changes that will continue are nearly impossible for their leaders to predict.

And as all of this is taking place, the call for more Hezbollah members to give up their lives... for a rich Eye Doctor and the Persians...well... that demand just keeps coming.

Is Nasrallah right?

Are the Israelis content with Hezbollah members killing fellow Muslims on Arab land?

Yes!

Here is the bigger question.

What is Nasrallah will or able to do about it?

What changes to his fighting force are taking place as he sleeps and drinks tea in Lebanon?

Will he wake up soon and realize, part of his organization no longer believes in him or his vision?

Nasrallah pushed Hezbollah into Syria at the orders of his Persian Masters!

Nasrallah has shoved Lebanon into the violence of Syria at the orders of his Persian Master.

How much longer will Hezbollah's fighting core follow him?

Who will become their new Hero?

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/reportsfeatures/542407-notorious-hezbollah-checkpoint-removed-amid-internal-reshuffle

ERDOGAN.. WHAT DO TYRANTS  DO WHEN THREATENED?

Back for a moment to one of my favored topics.....Egodan / Erdogan and I say "for the moment" given it could be the Tsar is about to move into the next phase of the Russian Mater Plan.

Ok, Egodan's party won 44 percent of the popular vote!

Like any methodical Tyrant, his victory speech had no signs of compromise and in fact, it was laced with out right threat to his opponents... namely the Gulen movement.... a movement he see the West supporting every passing day .

Does 44 percent indicate Turkey is about to move into a move peaceful time?

Not a hard question to answer I know.

His opponents are and will be more resolved than every given his open threats shortly after his victory lap.

Are things going to get better for Turkey?

No.

To people like Erdogan, 44 percent is a "mandate"!

And that leads us to the real problem and it's a serious one.

Egodan knows he has no mandate!

He knows the opposition is not weakened at all.

He understands his fire and brimstone post election attitude will only make things worse.

So, ask yourself; why....why did he say what he did?

The author of the attacked article brings up a great point.

If the so called leaded tap, the one where his government is talking actions in Syria, is truly a prelude to actions to come, then would that explain his arrogant attitude?

I've said it before about this guy and I will continue to say it over and over again; he knows full well the art of distraction!

Yes, his party won the last round of elections, but Egodan knows that is more than a hollow victory.

The movement against him grows and the more he threatens to stop it, the worse it will get.

Egodan can take all the victory laps he wants.

He can give all the "I'm coming to get you" speeches he desires.

The fact of the matter is the Kurds still want their slice of Turkey.

The Sunni Radicals want him dead.

The Gulen movement is gaining speed with each passing day.

As soon as the victory laps and the treating speeches end, that leaked youtube clip may become a very important part of Turkish history.

One last comment about the leaked clip and it's an interesting one.

Could it be this leaked clip gathered just enough exposure in the world press and social media that now Egodan is having second thoughts about executing the plan?

If so, what is the value of leaking information when the outcome is the prevention of conflict?

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/04/erdogan-victory-turkey-warning-west-nato.html

NORTH KOREA.. THE BAD HAIRCUT KID ACTING UP AGAIN!

Now, I know when we all look at this kid running North Korea we can't help but think he needs a part in Hangover IV, but the fact of the matter is, he is more dangerous today than he has been in the past two years.

His actions in just the past year have many real experts on North Korea and the rest of the "get me on the air.. and I'll talk like I'm a Korean Expert"...."Experts.. more than puzzled.

Some say, " he is trying to break away from the restrictive history of his Grandfather and Father.

Some say, he is more delusional that his Grandfather or Father ever was.

He's trying to open North Korea up, but the old power elites won't let him, so he is having them killed off...to include family!

He is doing this and he is doing that... and it means this... or it might mean that...

Yep.....I'm with ya..... nobody seems to have a clue what this bad haircut kid is up to!

Military leaders who are, "close to him", removed... Denis Rodman???? No clue there....unless haircut boy has a secret fetish for real freaky folks....

So, lets stop trying to figure what makes him tick and let's look at what he can do if he wishes to.

Can he strike out on his own with little or no input from the Dragon?

Yes.

Can he work a deal with the Tsar to keep the pressure up  on the other side of the world as the West tries to calm the fears of Eastern Europe?

Yes.

Can he play Good Cop.....Bad Cop with the Dragon in a bid to derail the US's Pacific policy?

Yes.

What can he do tactically?

He can have one of the largest cities in the world in flames within minutes of ordering it to happen and he can accomplish this without using his nuclear weapons options.... a program everyone hopes they have some working understand of.

Of all the things we could talk about here, let me express the one issue that truly worries me about this kid.

Overreaction and a staff more scared of him than they are of telling him something he may not agree with.

A good friend of mine who is a retire FBI agent once told me, "When you are in the Mob and you walk into a room and there is plastic on the floor.....that's a bad sign"!

This is exactly how his "advisors" must feel right now.

Let's say Japan really does shoot down a test shot from North Korea; then what?

What does the mad little haircut boy do?

The good news is, even the new far more assertive Japanese government is too smart to tempt the kid this way; unless he pushes it too far.

Ok, look!

That fact of the matter is this.

At a time when most of the Western world is watching the new Russian Empire try to reemerge and at time when the Arab / Muslim / world seems to continue to slide into a sectarian war that could last for decades, it's important to remember the crazy little haircut boy who has the ability to send the Pacific into crisis.

Once again the lesson is there for all to see.

The world in the 21st Century moves faster, more violently and more uncontrollable than at any point in Human history.

Wars are not always the result of deep, complex planning processes developed by a major nation state.

The 21st century world could fall into crisis over  something as simple as an email!!!!

Think about it.

Don't believe it?

http://www.worldbulletin.net/headlines/132913/japan-orders-army-to-strike-n-korea-missile-launches

QATAR PART OF UAE?  WELL... THERE IS A LITTLE HISTORY THERE.

Most know by now my interest in following what takes place with the GCC and those who interact with the organization.

It is also not new news the GCC has  recently struggled with it's image, more than usual, and large "cracks" in it's structure are now very visible.

Qatar's support, as insincere as I think it might be, for the Muslim Brotherhood, MB, seems to be the major point of contention, but I am still not sure that is real issue at hand.

Is Qatar more sympathetic, friendly, with Iran than Saudi would like them to be?

Yes.

In regards to the statement by General Khalfan; who is he and why would he make such a inflammatory comment?

"A top Dubai security official"?

Ok.... I don't know if I've ever met a Gulf State General who didn't present himself as a "top official...just about everyone over there that gets to wear "General", who is related to someone, is a "top official"!

Lets get past who he is and why he may be trying to have is fifteen minutes in the Sun,  but let's explore what he said and then more importantly, who had him say it?

Yes, it is true Qatar, at one point in time..... a very...very...short period of time...like days.... was part of a larger "territory"... a territory designed by Westerners and we all know how that ends up in the Middle East.

Yes, the story is General Khalfan is very anti MB... what Gulf State General is not?

Timing!

As is always the case in political event, timing is everything and if timing is everything, then who picked this point in time to have him make this statement?

Was it his idea?

If he is truly attempting to climb the status latter, an event that no Gulf State General overlooks or stops dreaming about, then it could have been his idea.

That's not my hunch here.

The relationship between the UAE and Saudi is a strong one and my bet is, this statement was well scripted by the General's leadership.

I'm not ruling out a "toot my own horn" here, but I would bet against it for one simple reason!

When someone over there does try to climb the latter too quickly, the rungs in the latter are cut even faster.

Nobody jumped up and said, " The General was way out of line and doesn't speak for the UAE"... at least not in public.....yet!

My theory is this statement was made to let Qatar know the threat of being abandon by the GCC is growing.

Who are Qatar's "real friends"?

The US with it's forward military footprint there?

Ask the Egyptian government if that really matters when it comes to your "friends" sticking with you!

It could be that Saudi, the Master of the GCC, learned a valuable lesson from the events in the Ukraine / Crimea.

Threaten to take back something that has some historical backing and then see how the rest of the region reacts!

The warning shot fired here was not at anyone but Qatar, but the history of "friends leaving with little notice is also part of the formulary!

Qatar's window to rejoin the fold of the GCC is closing and in reality, the relationship may never be the same.

What General Khalfan did was deliver a message and it's a message heard not only in Qatar, but in Iranian capital as well. 

You see; the real danger here is not a rouge Qatar, it's the Iranian's believing the GCC is ripe for the picking.

Saudi can ill afford to feel any more desperate over their standing in the region.

Qatar is hearing the famous, "ether you are with us or you are against us"!!!!

http://www.arabnews.com/news/549521

IRAN'S UN ENVOY??? IS THIS TOSSING THE BABY WITH THE BATHWATER?

First things first!

Is Hamid Aboutalebi and fanatical Muslim Fundamentalist?

Nope!

Is he most likely a practicing Muslim?

Yes!

Did he have a part in the American hostage crisis?

Yes; along with thousands of other young Iranian College Students!

Was Hamid Aboutalebi young and full of idealist College Student concepts?

Yep!

Side note.. Doesn't the US have a few folks in close to the current administration that fit the same mold?  I could name a few and so could most of you!

Now, I'm not traveling down the road of advocating lettting this guy into the US.

Yes, I am one of those who believes that actions early in one's life must have consequences, but I am also so one that believes we need to truly understand an event before we jump for the spot light called the new media.

If you ask the people who know President Rouhani, you would find he "trust" Aboutalebi and oh by the way... it's a truthful statement when someone says, " Ahmadienjad despised him".

So what is the real story here?

No one on the "don't let him in" side of the argument is saying he is a radical Muslim.

What they are upset about is his affiliation with those who stormed the US Embassy years ago.

Another side note: The initial movement to oust the Shaw was not a Radical / Fundamentalist act... The Fundamentalist kidnapped the revolution months after the storming of the Embassy took place.

Everyone accepts the fact the Iranian President doesn't do anything that could impact the relationship of the Iranian nation with the  rest of the world without permission!

So, a "moderate" President, picks a career politician, who he trust, to work with the UN.

It turns out that individual has some baggage that is still somewhat emotional with the US, although one could hardly tell given the media coverage of this story.

How quickly will the President be told by the real leadership of Iran to swap this individual out?

Well, that depends.... Does the real leadership in Iran really care?

As easy as this could be to fix, can it become a more important leverage point?

Can the US trade this guy for something weigh over his weight with the Iranian leadership?

Yep.

Simply put; I would not compromise on something larger than this one persons presences in the UN and find out after the fact the person never meant a thing to Iran's real leader.

Real short answer.... DON'T SCREW THIS UP!!!

My final, "side note".

Does anyone remember Jerry Adams?

I cold blooded Killer who was paraded around as a Irish Hero years latter.

Aboutalebi is no killer... but just another political moderate who use to be a youthful College Revolutionary dreamer.

http://backchannel.al-monitor.com/index.php/2014/04/8045/irans-un-envoy-pick-questioned-over-ties-to-hostage-crisis/