HOW TO DEFEAT THE AL ASSAD MACHINE

Part Three:

After talking to a few "friends" dealing with the events in Syria day by day , I decided to continue the topic of how to counter and defeat the murderous events in Syria.

How to defeat Air field operations.

The Resistance Fighters, although I would recognize them as Freedom Fighters now, have shown the skillcraft of attacking the Syrian Air Force Bases.

The problem was, they were after the intelligence operations there and not the Air Field itself.

Tactically speaking, the best and most basic way to defeat Air Power, ether rotor wing or fixed wing, is to never let it get off the ground.

by simple design all fixed wing aircraft are easy targets to ground, direct fire, operations and the runways are easily targets for indirect fire ops such as mortars.

Simple hit and run operations against Air fields can be conducted from nearly the maximum range of the automatic weapons and still have devistating effects.

Target the fuel farms if at all possible at the same time the aircraft are being targeted.

Once the attack is underway, do not linger!!!  Attack and leave.

Have observers who can spot the reaction forces, for this will allow you to maximize your escape timeline.

Hit the Air Field from more than one direction at the same time.

Have a small element that places fire on the reaction force.

A force under fire moves and apx 20 percent of the speed of a force not under fire.

Rake the area you are firing into. Do not aim at just one target.. This creates far more confusion.

This is big... Do not use ammunition with tracer rounds.

The damage cause by the rounds is great enough when dealing with fixed wing air craft and the tracer rounds only give away one's position.

As I have said before, have a place to hide if you can't get completely away from the attack.

Have the ability to "blend" with the local population at all times.

Leave the weapons if you need to.

You can find weapons far easier than you can replace skilled attack teams.

Night time attacks from a distance that last less than five minutes have a devistating psychological impact on an enemy.

An hour after you are gone, the enemy will still move, act and think you are still there.

Trust me this works!!!  I trained for these type of events for years.  

HOW TO DEFEAT THE AL ASSAD MACHINE

Part Two:

A few weeks ago, I talked to the issue of how to defeat the killing machine run by the Al Assad dictatorship.

After talking with a few " friends" of the movement, I promissed I would address this process once again, with perhaps a few additional items of advice.

First, let me start by saying it is far easier to sit thousands of miles away and dictate how someone should place their life on the line for the sake of their families and their loved ones.

The old expression in the US is, "talk is cheap"!

It is for that reason I can only hope these words add value to those that are truly risking everything for freedom, a freedom that does not have a single definition.. it is not a Western concept... it is not a Eastern concept... it is not a political concept... it is the essences of being Human; thus those that suppress freedom are not human.

When I last spoke on the concept of defeating Al Assad's machine, I started with some very basic tenants of conflict that cannot be broken.

For the sake of clarity, I will go over them again before I move on to tactical issues.

THE THREE "NEVERS"!!

1.  Never lose your sense of humanity. Do not brutalize anyone other than the armed enemy facing you, and when they drop their arms, show compassion at all cost; for this is the difference between what you are fighting and what you are fighting for.

2.  Never let someone join your cause that has their own agenda and if they do, show the world they are not with you but yet another element of suppressing  the path to freedom. Expose them!!!

3.  Never lie to the people you are trying to free!!!

TACTICS AL ASSAD CANNOT DEFEAT!!

Document any act of inhumanity and take the risk of bringing impartial observers, such as the media with you.

If your own people commit a " wrong" own it and show the world you will not allow it to continue. let it be documented and let the process of fixing it be documented as well. take the tool / weapon / of " accusations out of the hands of the Syrian Government. Tell the story before Al Alssad's supporters get the chance to shape the event.  again.... let a third party show how you owned the event and made changes to prevent it again. Hide nothing!!

  If you can prove Iranian support, do it at all cost and document it with a third party if at all possible.

TACTICS AL ASSAD'S MILITARY CANNOT DEFEAT!!

1.  Never let them rest!!

            Never let the " rear" rest!!!  early in the morning, pre dawn!! Fast. and leave.

            Let there be no "peace", but limit the actions to those that are armed who face  you.

              When conducting operations to the rear, do not attack the unarmed and do not  allow others to do so.

2.  Know where you can hide after an attack and do so quickly. have an " exit plan".

3.  Keep attacks simple and spend little time planning them.

            the longer you take, the greater the risk it will be compromised

            As I said a few weeks ago, this calls for "specially trained members who trust each other.

4. Fight at night and never fight the armor at night.

            Fight the troops outside the armor that are defending them.

            If there is no one outside the armor defending it and you do not have the weapons to defeat the armor, then let it go. Do not lose valuable lives for the sake of heroics against armor.

5.  Pick fights near the border with Turkey or Jordan.

            Force these countries to worry about the Syrian actions.

            Hit and Run tactics that let these two nations realize how close the conflict is.

            Do not run to a safe zone in their countries unless you have casualties and then drop them off and leave.

            Show these two countries you are not hiding behind their borders and that you are willing to keep from drawing them into the conflict.....Win their minds by not making the media pressure them into action.

6.  When you capture an enemy, show compassion and document it as soon as possible.

7.  Turn some of them lose when possible and tell them they are not the enemy.. .Al Alssad and his followers are.  the word will spread like wild fire!!!!

Again, these are easy sometimes mindless comments from thousands of miles away, but they represent " ideas" that should be reviewed and modified to achieve the desired goal for the Syrian People.

Last but not least... be prepared to go this fight alone!!!!

Do not let anyone in to "help" that is not there to do anything other than free the Syrian people and be prepared for Iran to wage a war on your ground if needed.

If Iran does, let them.. .this will unite the Syrian people and Al Alssad will fall!

Never...Ever.... lose your compassion for others... You enemy is only an enemy until you convince them not to be one!!!

As soon as that happens.. your hand much reach out... You must take the risk!!!

HEZBOLLAH.. REARRANGING THE DECK CHAIRS ON THE TITANIC!!! 

Two days ago, I talked about the apparent split between Hamas and Syria and the repercussions of such an event on the entire region.

For months now, the general opinion has been, 'as Syria goes... so goes ... Lebanon'...

The problem was and continues to be, most people don't understand what that could mean to the rhythm of the Middle East.

As the two attached articles point out, the split inside the leadership of Lebanon is growing and could quickly reach a crisis point.

What does this have to do with Hamas splitting with Syria?

Simple, if Hamas has made a clean break and that break is based on Sunni / Shia lines, then Hezbollah ends up on the other side of playing field for Hamas.

When a group such as Hamas makes such a bold move, it only puts pressure on Hezbollah and it's goal of maintaining control in Lebanon.

The fact that Lebanese leadership is split over support for Syria is not new.  

The increased pressure on Hezbollah by the actions of Hamas is the new twist!!!!

Hhaled Abu Toameh brings up an outstanding point in his article attached.

There never was any 'love' for the the PLO inside Syria and in fact the age old Arab tactic of manipulating a so called 'Friend' in order to achieve a self-interest was always priority one for the Al Assad family.

The Al Assad families goals have never been based on religion or nationalistic pride and only a fool would think so.

The goal has always been for the family and it's loyal friends to maintain a vast fortune.

 From being the ruling party; not unlike any other dictatorship in the world, was out to secure personal power and wealth.

This is the legacy of the Al Assad family in the Middle East and everyone that lives there knows it and that includes Hezbollah and Hamas.

The mirage of Hamas and Syria was forged on brittle steel just like the Titanic and just like the Titanic this brittle foundation has crumbled.

Hezbollah sits aboard the Sister Ship, HMHS Britannic.. this time called Lebanon.. and sees the Titanic... Syria going down fast.

So, now the question becomes, what does Hezbollah do?

Do they rearrange the Deck Chairs or do they jump ship while they still can?

Here is their real dilemma and they know it!!!

Who do they jump ship to??????

If Hezbollah decides not to turn Lebanon into  a battle ground for the sake of Syria and ultimately  Iran, the Persians, then what alternative to they have???

My bet...... Look at the IRA in Ireland...

Go " Political"... Go legit...

Go the route of the Muslim Brotherhood and state you are willing to meet the Sunni and the rest of the world in the middle!

Some are going to ask.... " would this really work"???

My answer... Ask the Murderer Jerry Adams!!!

Hezbollah has now way out...

Hamas has shown the way....

Will Hezbollah follow????

http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=259357

http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=259360

AS THE OLD SAYING GOES, " I TOLD YA SO"!!!!

If this story is correct, and I believe it probably is, then the tables are really begining to turn in the Middle East and that is not all good news.

At face value Israel may see this split of Hamas from Syria and most likely Iran as a good thing, but the rest of the word and in the end Israel must really start to worry about a Sunni / Shia conflict.

Yesterday I spoke of the possible split in Hamas and how it may happen suddenly.

It could very well be the radical side of Hamas has decided not to split and to keep their allegiance based on their Sunni faith; and thus side with the Muslim Brotherhood.

If this has truly become a reality and the split in Hamas did not take place, then Iran will go into a full fledged panic!

" No Hezbollah and no Iran"!!!!

A statement by the masses at Friday prayers is a shocking message to Iran and to the rest of the Gulf.

The problem could quickly become one for the Arab League and the GCC to figure out.

In their drive to support the Sunni of Syria, have they set in motion a Regional Sectarian war between the Sunni and the Shia?

Again the law of Second Order Effects comes into play.

Did the AL and the GCC ever truly stop to think about how this movement may get out of hand?

More importantly, was this a designed plan by the Gulf States to prevent the sequential spread of the Arab Spring along the Gulf States?

If we do not hear from the more radical side of the Hamas movement that they do not agree with this announcement, then things will move quickly.

Iranian funding will stop instantaneously, if it has no already done so!

I'm not sure there is anyone left in Syria for Al Assad to expel.

Iran without Hamas means an Iran without the Gaza for attacking Israel.

Iran without Al Assad to feed Hezbollah, means an Iran without Lebanon land to attack Israel from.

The loss of Hezbollah's hold on Lebanon, means an Iran without a proxy battlefield. 

Their common enemy is Israel, but the two sides, shia and Sunni, could be  about to enter a fight to see who will lead the movement!

As a side note; Turkey must quickly decide what this announcement means to them!

If they didn't have input in the ongoing conversations between the MB and the PA / Hamas, and I don't think they did, then they must react soon.

I want to end this discussion by saying just how important this announcement may be to the rest of us.

http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=259264

THE CONTINUING THREAT OF A SPLIT IN HAMAS!

It appears the threat of a potential split inside Hamas continues.

To keep this story  simplistic, it continues to be about the part of Hamas that is drawing closer to the MB along with the Pa and that faction of Hamas that is wishing to side with Iran and the more radical elements of some of the Sunni groups.

The question continues to be, is this potential split an advantage for the West or a dangerous turn of events?

From Iran's perspective, they would not require  the entire Hamas organization loyalty  to Iran in order to conduct operations against Israel.

If we accept that fact, then the split may take place sooner than we think and the PA will continue its process of becoming the Palestinian MB. ( My opinion of where Abbas is heading.)

So, the real friction becomes, who controls what ground in Gaza?

Who gets to keep the tunnels and the funds that come from that smuggling operations?

The tunnels are vital to continuing the flow of arms into Gaza, so we should think the more radical element of Hamas will not relinquish this slice of land.

Now, it can be argued the amount of arms needed to start a conflict with Israel are already in place, but remember... more than just arms pass through those tunnels.

Truly the lifeline for Gaza is made up from some percentage of goods passing.

Would this allow the more radical element of Hamas to control the commerce of Gaza?

Would the PA and the split faction of Hamas in Gaza allow this?

Egypt and the MB can address this to some extent by opening the flow of above ground trade into Gaza, but that would take coordination with Israel.

Israel must chose it's battles carefully given the situation with Iran and being seen as not reaching out to a PA/ Hamas "reformed" organization on the simple matter of trade would be a real risk.

It's is clear to see, a split Hamas is a far more complex issue than most would understand.

The issue of Hamas' struggles are not even making it to the Western Press, but then again why should they... all eyes are on Syria.

http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=259159

A MESSAGE TO THE RUSSIANS AND THE WEST.. DID WE HEAR IT?

There is always, a message imbedded in statements by Arab leadership and

this is especially true of the Saudi Royal Family.

When King Abdullah makes the comment, "we cannot abandon our religion and

moral position towards the situation in Syria", he is almost assuredly

referencing the status of the Sunni population.

I am confident this is exactly how this statement will be interpreted in

Iran and Syria.

I also love  the oh so typical Arab way of saying to 'Russia,  get on the

right side of this',  with the comment about coordinating with the Arab

League.

A polite slap in the face Mr Putin will not appreciate!!!!

Just one more uptick in the pressure cooker called the Middle East.

http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=258940

IRAN'S THREAT OF PREEMPTIVE ACTIONS.. WHY?

I find it interesting the top Turkish newspaper ,online , the World

Bulletin, did not run the story of Iran threatening to take preemptive

measures.

Turkish impartial media???

It also appears the media didn't catch on to the fact Iran never identified

who the preemptive strike might be against.

If you just read the article as you were sipping your morning coffee, you

would most likely assume the threat was geared towards Israel.

If you did so, I would remind you in the past Iran typically spells out

their willingness to fight Israel if needed.... by name usually!!!

In addition, to have a prominent General make this preemptive statement

surly implies it was sanctioned all the way to the top.... I.O campaign.

I still stand by my theory Iran cannot afford to strike the first blow and

expect to have any chance of Arab support in a conflict.

Arabs destroying their countries for the sake of Persians is just not

likely.... they won't even do it for the Palestinians!!!

Again, Iran must be seen as the hero, liberator in the next battle, but they

seem to be focusing on trying to set when that battle takes place; thus the

statement about not waiting.

Hezbollah and Hamas must feel like they are more and more just the pawns in

a Persian game.... Lebanon has to feel the same way.

Can Iran get Israel to strike out at Hezbollah or Hamas?

Can Iran insure this conflict takes place at the right moment in time?

Can Iran avoid the next cycle of the "Arab Spring" this time a Persian

version??

Every day is a challenge for all sides... .

It is only going to take one mistake to get out of hand.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-17116588

http://www.worldbulletin.net/