THE NEXT OPERATION INSIDE
GAZA:
Should I be addressing the findings of the Mueller report
this morning? Should I be talking about the political circus that has gripped
the US for over two years? Well, maybe, but if you have followed my post over
the years, you know I spend little time on politics and the games that are
played inside the US. Does it upset me? Yes. Do I focus on it? I try not to and,
in that statement,, let me move on to something I think is important today,
perhaps far more critical than many waking up in the US this morning realize.
Short Range, Medium Range,
Long Range.
When you live in a nation the size of Israel, what is the
definition of “range”? From where those that wish to spread violence stand, any
size rocket can have the results they crave. You can shoot a rifle and gain the
world’s attention. For the people who live in Gaza, the ones that have nothing
to do with rockets and firebomb balloons, every weapon in the IDF’s arsenal can
inflict pain and tragedy. Take a small area that is full of people who are in a
struggle just to live day to day, on both sides of this conflict, and insert
those who only wish to propagate violence for the purpose of prestige or to fulfil
the task of others and you have a recipe for what is about to happen yet again.
Now, let me be very clear who I am talking about here. Those people who have inserted
themselves inside of Gaza who have one purpose…..violence, those are the ones
that have lit the fuse on the next major conflict inside of Gaza. Not the people
in Gaza trying to find some level of medical help today. Not the people in Gaza
who are trying to find a way to convince their children they can go to school
today. Not the people in Gaza who have now heard the news stories or even
witnessed the mobilization of IDF units on a scale larger than they have
witnessed in the past. The people of Gaza who have no dreams of violence are
now once again preparing for the worst. They are finding ways to gather their families
and loved ones in a safe place in a city so small, hiding from the pending violence
is impossible. These are the people who are falling to their knees and asking
the Lord, “why”? These are people who share a commonality with the people in
Israel. Fear. Fear of what is taking place and a fear of what may come once
again. Are they correct? Is this time going to be different? Will the IDF strike
empty buildings and then stop? This is where the real fear is coming from, for both
sets of people know, the answer is most likely yes.
What is different this time:
For all the talk of “range”, range is an
issue that has little meaning to Israel. Where does the technology for these “homemade”
rockets in Gaza come from? Who supplies the materials needed for such “homemade”
weapons? Do the Mullahs and the Iranian military leaders truly believe Israel
and the US don’t have the ability to analyze the structure of these weapons and
determine their true origin? No, they are not that naive. What they are is
confident. Confident the pressure on Israel to not over react is too great. Confident
this latest event will be like all the others…… Tehran’s proxy fighters launch an
improved weapon into Israel and the IDF is limited to nearly worthless counter
air strikes on empty targets…..targets that still have value by the way, but that
is a much more detailed discussion for another day. What the Mullahs are is confident.
Well, let me tell you, in the history of warfare, many of the most critical errors
made by “leaders” were based on Confidence.
The Mullahs pulled Assad into a meeting without the
Russians being in on the “plan”. Why? Simple, because the Mullahs have never intended
on letting Moscow shape the future of Syria. Where they “confident” Moscow /
Putin would overlook this embarrassment for the sake of not showing cracks in the
Iranian, Russian so-called Alliance? Most likely. Was that a strategic level
error on the Mullah’s part? OH… I can assure you it was. Have the Mullahs anticipated
the US’s intent to limit Iran’s influence over Syria and Iraq. Yes. Have they convinced
themselves unleashing one of their primary proxy fighters in Gaza is a way to
distract the US? Remember what I said about the error of “Confidence”.
Desperation:
In battle, what is just as dangerous as reckless
“confidence”? Desperation! How long do you think it took for Moscow to let the
Mullahs know ether verbally or non-verbally, Putin’s displeasure with the Assad
stunt? Do the Iranian military commanders understand the impact of the Russians
agreeing to let the US and “others” maneuver into a position to greatly change the
capabilities of Iran inside of Iraq or Syria? Did the forced Assad trip potentially
change the “game” in the region? By the way, if Assad is smart, “forced” is
exactly how he better have shaped this trip when Putin called him……if Putin
called him. What is the life expectancy of someone who double crosses Putin,
when that someone is a proxy puppet? If the Mullahs are not over confident then
they may very well be desperate. Yes, these limited rocket attacks have been
taking place for some time now, but the targets they are reaching has become
the issue and those targets are not being reached without the support and authority
of the Mullahs. No one understands this better than Israel. So, what is said
here? How does the so called leadership in Hamas respond to these attacks?
Abbas and Hamas:
What is the one thing Abbas and Hamas have
in common? Actually, it’s two things. Profit and power. The future wellbeing of
those people who are praying and seeking shelter as I write this is not the
concern of Abbas or Hamas. For Abbas, it’s yet another opportunity to show that
Hamas cannot be trusted and has no compassion for the people of Gaza….. a slice
of land Hamas took from Abbas. The death and destruction that might be about to
take place in Gaza is good news to Abbas. Sick, but true. As for Hamas. There
is only one set of individuals in Gaza they care about. The members of Hamas.
The money and weapons they receive are based on their willingness to do someone
else’s bidding. The daily thrill of walking the streets dressed like a Warrior
is far more exciting to a young man than getting up at 5am and going to work in
a bakery or some other manual labor job. The pool of Pawns is deep enough to
keep the blood flowing for some time to come and the old men who manipulate Hamas
know this.
Look. I could go on and on, but the truth is simplistic
if not sad. Gaza is yet another proxy for the ongoing struggles in the region.
The more the Mullahs see Arab leaders talking to Israel, the more they are convinced
their time is running out. Pulling the stunt with Assad may have set in motion
events the old men in Tehran simply could not have anticipated. There can be
only one question remaining. What does Israel do? Yes, it’s election time and
yes Israeli citizens were injured. Does that play into this event? You bet it
does? Did that factor into Tehran’s support for this latest attack? Yes. Do the
old men in Tehran worry for the safety of the people in Gaza? No. Have they
made a decision that could cost perhaps hundreds if not thousands of lives?
Most likely. Here is the reality. The only side of this next event that will take
into consideration the safety of the innocent, is Israel…..and guess what….the Arab
Leaders know it. Playing games with Putin’s plans…………………………… A very risky concept
for a group of old men trying to hang on to a 40 year old dream.
Dear Mullahs. Don’t believe for a minute,
the move on Hamas is the only reaction you will witness from Moscow. Syria and
Iraq had their courses changed with one trip by the Eye Doctor.