HIZBALLAH LOSES IN SYRIA
Sticking with the issue of Hizbollah's challenges again
today for one simple reason; it's the most important issue potentially for the
whole region.
For several weeks the rumors of "troubles" inside
the Hizbollah camp have been circulating
and this trend now holds true going into the month of May.
This report by DEBKA, if true, is one of the more dramatic
events pertaining to Hizbollah's future.
The rumor of a pending speech by Nasrallah within the next
few days just took on a whole new level of urgency, if this DEBKA story is
true.
Nasrallah has every intention of explaining to the Hizbollah
base support why their fighters are engaged in Syria .
I am one of those who truly believe the UAV incident last
week with Israel was nothing
more than an attempt by Nasrallah to show the "base" he still has his
eye on the Israel .
Can you imagine having to walk into the room, as he is
preparing his speech, and inform him one of his top leaders has been killed in Syria along
with several members of one of the organization's most revered units?
Try adding that explanation to the speech!!
Now, I made the comment a few months ago the addition of
Hizbollah " regulars" would dramatically change the Battlefield for
the Syrian Rebels and the last two weeks of fighting seems to have proven me
right.
But, as is the case with most extended conflicts, the
"shock" of a new leverage has the tendency to level off over time and
that could be exactly what happened to this elite unit.
In simple terms, their enemy adapted to their tactics and
then executed a counter strike.
So, what does this all mean?
If we accept the fact that Hizbollah is in more trouble now
than at any point in their history, what does it mean?
If ever there was a prime example of " The Law of
Unintended Consequences", the near future of Hizbollah's actions may
become a textbook case.
Nasrallah's pending speech to his "Base" may just
be for wider audience than he had initially hoped for.
Watch for it.... It's going to be vital to the near future
of the region!!
If, and I say if, but if Narallah has a crack in his
armor... if he is looking for an escape route... he just may hint to it in this
next speech.