Friday, February 1, 2013


















SNAPSHOT ON THREE CRITICAL "HOTSPOTS".

Okay, I've not done one of these in quite a while but I thought tonight was an appropriate time to do a "snapshot" of events that are critical for this point in time for the Middle East.

EGYPT:

So what is this time might make this round of protests different?


The short answer is educated youth of Egypt, this time around, has a "bully" on their side!

The "bloc" \soccer hooligans\have provided a level of violence that the unorganized and mostly passive Egyptian college youth did not possess 2011.

Yes, the people of Egypt have "protest fatigue" but more importantly they are even more fatigue with the thought of yet another authoritarian government ruling over it virtually ruined economy!

Many stories have been written in the past few days on how this time, Egypt to truly could be on the edge of chaos.

Fatigue, hopelessness and violence make are simply making a disastrous cocktail.

IRAQ:

Today's Sunni protest made it abundantly clear to the Iraqi government just how close they truly are to social chaos.

The fact that the current leader of Iraq is a complete incompetent fool leaves Iraq little hope of maintaining order.

For nearly 10 years theory has been that someday Iraq eventually divide along sectarian lines in an undeclared Kurdish state.

It now appears that this theory is quickly becoming reality that is organizing your for Iran and anyone else in the region.

The Turkish oil deals with the Kurds will not take Iran's interest into account.

Simply put, as I stated at the end of 2012, Iraq is soon to be another proxy battlefield in a growing Sunni Shia sectarian conflict!

LEBANON:

There is only one way to analyze the situation for Lebanon; when will the conflict spread to Lebanon?

Hezbollah has absolutely no chance of controlling the fate of Lebanon and in fact, its own fate is now in question.

Desperate organizations like desperate nations have historically taken drastic actions.

Nothing and I mean absolutely nothing is going Hezbollah's way.

Lebanon is being held together by the reality the slim majority of its people still do not wish to see open conflict in their country.

With each passing day the ability to hold back the tide of violence is being torn down by the relentless pressures of sharing a border with the crisis called Syria.

Okay, it's fairly simple to see just how many fires close to igniting in the region.

The nations are now coming to the realization that preventing these fires is all but hopeless.

Hopefully the concentration of effort is becoming focused on the issue of limiting the damage of these fires like all other fires in nature, preventing them from growing into one large forest fire.

If you are in search of good news, then there's no need to look anywhere near the Middle East.